Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.575519 1.643812 1.713844 1.791156 1.874264 1.961082 2.058845
2025-12-28 1.462668 1.561954 1.667709 1.789276 1.925832 2.075285 2.252326
2026-01-04 1.352005 1.469191 1.597674 1.750106 1.927498 2.129295 2.378976
2026-01-11 1.287155 1.419905 1.569161 1.751292 1.970196 2.228403 2.561618
2026-01-18 1.242328 1.388619 1.556803 1.767306 2.027951 2.346109 2.773889
2026-01-25 1.189594 1.343710 1.524089 1.754588 2.047161 2.414873 2.927391
2026-02-01 1.135638 1.293712 1.481440 1.725478 2.041752 2.449310 3.035565
2026-02-08 1.073550 1.230562 1.419028 1.667148 1.993763 2.422717 3.055021
2026-02-15 1.032199 1.190825 1.383368 1.640278 1.984156 2.445194 3.143418
2026-02-22 1.002398 1.163934 1.362225 1.630432 1.995636 2.495901 3.275620
2026-03-01 0.969411 1.131603 1.332548 1.607435 1.987159 2.516918 3.363445
2026-03-08 0.922494 1.080024 1.276210 1.546302 1.922467 2.452804 3.312644
2026-03-15 0.899262 1.059758 1.261956 1.544339 1.944975 2.523576 3.493940
2026-03-22 0.883911 1.049259 1.260265 1.559729 1.993670 2.638127 3.763369
2026-03-29 0.854514 1.019440 1.231780 1.536540 1.984786 2.663974 3.885505
2026-04-05 0.837676 1.005456 1.223831 1.541630 2.017850 2.758036 4.141537
2026-04-12 0.825600 0.997226 1.223144 1.556745 2.066662 2.881398 4.471020
2026-04-19 0.805842 0.977927 1.206367 1.547411 2.076643 2.940508 4.684506
2026-04-26 0.782601 0.953147 1.181020 1.524126 2.062902 2.957397 4.813916
2026-05-03 0.752559 0.918287 1.140477 1.476533 2.007563 2.897238 4.771712
2026-05-10 0.732440 0.896473 1.117615 1.454544 1.992473 2.907355 4.884168
2026-05-17 0.717864 0.881850 1.104402 1.446489 1.999541 2.957676 5.094412
2026-05-24 0.700607 0.863051 1.084633 1.427549 1.987343 2.971281 5.221591